After Iran talks falter, the big question is what happens next?

As marathon talks in Doha conclude without a breakthrough, the path to reviving the 2015 nuclear deal appears more uncertain than ever. | Contesto: cronaca

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• After Iran talks falter, the big question is what happens next?

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DOHA, Qatar – High-stakes negotiations aimed at reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal concluded here Wednesday without a breakthrough, leaving the future of the landmark accord and the prospect of de-escalation between Tehran and Washington in profound doubt. After a marathon 21-hour final session between European Union mediators and Iranian negotiators, diplomats acknowledged that significant gaps remain, unable to bridge 47 years of entrenched hostility in a single day of diplomacy. The talks, which had moved to Qatar after stalling in Vienna, were widely seen as a critical, perhaps final, attempt to salvage the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The EU’s chief coordinator, Enrique Mora, stated that the discussions had been "intense" but that "unfortunately, we have not yet been able to get the process over the finish line." The core impasse revolves around Iran's demand for guarantees that a future U.S. administration will not again abandon the deal, as President Donald Trump did in 2018, and the scope of economic sanctions relief. The failure to secure progress in Doha carries immediate and dangerous implications. Iran continues to advance its nuclear program far beyond the deal's strict limits, now enriching uranium to 60% purity—a short technical step from weapons-grade levels—and accumulating a stockpile that experts warn could significantly reduce the time needed to produce a bomb. Each day without an agreement allows Iran's nuclear infrastructure to grow more advanced, potentially altering the fundamental calculus of what a return to the original limits would even mean. This diplomatic stalemate unfolds against a backdrop of heightened regional tensions and a hardening political landscape in both capitals. In Washington, the Biden administration faces domestic pressure not to offer concessions, while also grappling with the strategic dilemma of a rapidly advancing Iranian nuclear program. In Tehran, a conservative government under President Ebrahim Raisi has taken a tougher stance than its predecessor, demanding more robust assurances and sanctions removal. The mutual distrust is palpable, with each side publicly blaming the other for the lack...

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Categoria: cronaca