After three years of war, Sudan army and RSF locked in military impasse

Three years of brutal conflict have yielded no clear victor, leaving Sudan mired in a devastating stalemate and humanitarian catastrophe. | Contesto: cronaca

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• After three years of war, Sudan army and RSF locked in military impasse

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KHARTOUM, Sudan – As the war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year this week, a stark military impasse has solidified across the country, with neither side possessing the strength to deliver a decisive blow against the other. The conflict, which erupted in the capital on April 15, 2023, has since metastasized, drawing in regional militias and fracturing the nation along volatile frontlines from Darfur in the west to the strategic city of Al Jazirah, south of Khartoum. The battlefield reality is one of brutal, grinding attrition. The SAF maintains control over much of the east and north, including Port Sudan, which now functions as a de facto capital, and continues to wield its air power. Meanwhile, the RSF holds sway over vast areas of the capital region, Darfur, and Kordofan, relying on mobile ground forces. This division has created a deadlock where territorial gains are often temporary and costly, with recent RSF advances in the east being met with fierce, sustained counter-attacks that have prevented a strategic breakthrough. Military analysts describe a war of positions where defense currently holds the advantage over offense, exhausting both armies' manpower and resources. This prolonged stalemate has exacted a horrific humanitarian price, creating what United Nations agencies label one of the world's worst displacement and hunger crises. Over 8.5 million people have been forced from their homes, with nearly two million fleeing across borders. Critical infrastructure, including hospitals, water systems, and grain silos, has been deliberately targeted or collapsed, while aid access is routinely blocked by both parties to the conflict. The World Food Programme warns that nearly 18 million people face acute food insecurity, with pockets of famine likely present in areas cut off from assistance. "The war is not just being fought with bullets and shells, but by starving civilians," a senior aid official, speaking on condition of anonymity due to security concerns, stated. The political landscape mirrors the military gridlock. Repeated mediation efforts, led by regional actors and...

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Categoria: cronaca