Bank of England deputy governor warns stock markets will fall; Trump threatens UK with ‘big tariff’ over digital services tax – business live

Bank of England deputy governor warns of stock market decline as global risks mount; Trump threatens UK tariffs over digital tax. | Contesto: cronaca

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• Bank of England deputy governor warns stock markets will fall; Trump threatens UK with ‘big tariff’ over digital services tax – business live

Contesto

LONDON — Sarah Breeden, a deputy governor of the Bank of England, issued a stark warning that global stock markets are poised for a fall, arguing that current share prices fail to account for the array of economic risks stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions and elevated commodity costs. Speaking in her official capacity, Breeden cautioned that investors should not assume the recent resilience of equity markets will persist. “I’m not saying it will happen today, tomorrow, in 12 months’ time,” she said, emphasizing that the financial system must be prepared for a downturn. Her remarks came as the Middle East conflict continues to roil energy markets, with oil prices hovering near $105 per barrel, significantly above the sub-$70 level seen at the start of 2026. Breeden’s warning appeared to weigh on trading sentiment early Tuesday. Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, suggested the deputy governor’s comments may have contributed to a dip in the market. “The stock market reflects what investors think will happen in the future,” Mould explained. “While markets have been wobbly since the Middle East conflict unfolded, they didn’t pull back sharply in the early stages of the crisis, and more recently they’ve shown resilience. That suggests investors are confident the war will end quickly, and elevated oil and gas prices will retreat as supply is restored.” Mould added that the current oil price, while below the $120-plus level seen when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, remains high enough to inflict pain on businesses and consumers as the cost of everything rises. The Bank of England’s caution comes at a time of heightened uncertainty for the global economy. The Iran crisis is hitting the German economy particularly hard, according to analysts, as Europe grapples with disrupted energy supplies and rising inflation. Companies across sectors are issuing cautious outlook statements, with many reporting a considerably more pessimistic view of the months ahead. Breeden’s message underscores a growing concern among central bankers that financial markets may be underestimating the persistence of these shocks, leaving the system vulnerable to a sharp correction....

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Categoria: cronaca