Can Trump get a better Iran deal than Obama?

As nuclear talks resume, the central question is whether a new administration can succeed where its predecessor failed and secure a more comprehensive agreement. | Contesto: cronaca

Punti chiave

• Can Trump get a better Iran deal than Obama?

Contesto

Diplomatic efforts to revive a nuclear agreement with Iran have resumed, reigniting a long-standing political debate over the viability of the original pact and the potential for a successor. The renewed talks follow years of stalled negotiations and a recent 40-day conflict in the region, underscoring the urgent security stakes. Former President Donald Trump, who withdrew the United States from the 2015 accord during his term, has repeatedly asserted that he could negotiate a "better" deal than the one struck by the Obama administration. The 2015 agreement, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was a landmark diplomatic achievement that imposed strict limits on Iran's nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief. It successfully capped Tehran's stockpile of enriched uranium and placed its nuclear facilities under unprecedented international monitoring. The deal was championed by the Obama administration as the most effective way to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon without resorting to military conflict. That framework collapsed in 2018 when the Trump administration unilaterally withdrew, reimposing and then escalating a crippling regime of economic sanctions. Critics of the original deal argued it was fatally flawed, citing its temporary "sunset" clauses on key restrictions and its failure to address Iran's ballistic missile program and regional proxy activities. The subsequent "maximum pressure" campaign aimed to force Tehran back to the negotiating table to accept broader terms, but instead led Iran to gradually abandon its own compliance with the nuclear limits. The path back to diplomacy has been fraught. The years following the U.S. withdrawal saw a series of provocative steps, including attacks on shipping, the assassination of a top Iranian general, and the recent direct military exchanges. Iran has since advanced its nuclear work to levels far beyond those permitted by the JCPOA, shortening its potential "breakout" time to produce a weapon. This deteriorating situation has lent new urgency to the current talks, with all parties acknowledging the heightened risk of miscalculation. Central to the political...

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Categoria: cronaca