‘He has the market in a chokehold’: Stocks swing as Trump posts.

Trump’s off-the-cuff remarks have driven five of the S&P 500’s biggest swings since January, tightening his grip on market volatility. | Contesto: cronaca

Punti chiave

• ‘He has the market in a chokehold’: Stocks swing as Trump posts.

Contesto

Since returning to the White House last January, President Donald Trump’s spontaneous comments to reporters and in other public settings have emerged as the single most powerful force behind the stock market’s sharpest movements, with five of the best and worst days in the S&P 500 Index directly tied to his words. The pattern, documented by market analysts tracking intraday volatility, reveals an unprecedented correlation between the president’s unscripted statements and sudden, large-scale shifts in investor sentiment. On multiple occasions, a single remark from Trump during a press conference or impromptu exchange with journalists has triggered immediate sell-offs or rallies, erasing or adding hundreds of billions of dollars in market value within hours. The phenomenon marks a stark departure from previous administrations, where market-moving news typically emerged from formal policy announcements, economic data releases, or Federal Reserve decisions. Under Trump, the market’s sensitivity to his offhand comments has intensified, with traders and algorithms alike parsing his every word for signals on trade policy, corporate regulation, or geopolitical strategy. Analysts note that the president’s tendency to deviate from prepared remarks or to float policy ideas in real time has created a new layer of uncertainty, amplifying intraday swings and complicating risk management for institutional investors. The five most dramatic days—three of which were among the worst in the index’s recent history and two among the best—were all triggered by Trump’s comments on topics ranging from tariff negotiations to federal spending. In each instance, the initial reaction was nearly instantaneous, with futures markets moving sharply within minutes of his statements. The pattern has led some market strategists to describe Trump as having “the market in a chokehold,” a phrase used by one analyst to characterize the outsized influence of his unscripted remarks on daily trading. Background data from the S&P 500’s performance since January shows that the index’s largest percentage gains and losses have coincided with days when Trump spoke publicly on economic or trade issues. While...

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Categoria: cronaca