Liban : le cessez-le-feu va-t-il tenir ?

U.S. announces a ten-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, with Hezbollah included, as leaders prepare for White House talks. | Contesto: cronaca

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• Liban : le cessez-le-feu va-t-il tenir ?

Contesto

In a surprise announcement from Washington on Thursday, former U.S. President Donald Trump declared that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a ten-day ceasefire. The agreement, which Trump stated explicitly includes the Iran-backed Hezbollah movement, was coupled with the news that the leaders of both nations would soon meet at the White House. The declaration, made without immediate independent confirmation from the governments in Jerusalem or Beirut, marks a potential pivotal moment in a long-running and volatile conflict along the shared border. The reported truce aims to halt a cycle of cross-border strikes and rocket fire that has escalated dramatically in recent months, raising fears of a full-scale regional war. Hezbollah, a powerful political and military force within Lebanon, has been engaged in near-daily exchanges of fire with the Israeli Defense Forces in solidarity with Hamas in Gaza. The explicit inclusion of Hezbollah in the U.S. announcement is a critical, and highly complex, element, as the group operates with significant autonomy from the official Lebanese state. This raises immediate questions about the mechanics of the ceasefire and which Lebanese authorities have the power to enforce it. Analysts point to the profound geopolitical stakes embedded in this development. David Rigoulet-Roze, editor-in-chief of the journal "Orients Stratégiques," noted that any agreement involving Hezbollah directly implicates Iran, the group's principal patron and Israel's arch-rival. The proposed White House meeting between Israeli and Lebanese leaders, if it proceeds, would be a rare and symbolically charged event. Lebanon has technically been in a state of war with Israel since 1948, and diplomatic relations are non-existent. Such a summit would represent a significant diplomatic breakthrough, though one fraught with domestic political risks for the Lebanese leadership. The context for this announcement is a region already on a knife's edge. The conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has served as a catalyst for violence on multiple fronts, including between Israel and Hezbollah. For months, towns on both sides of the Israel-Lebanon border have been...

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Categoria: cronaca