NATO's eastern members brace for US disengagement

Baltic states watch with alarm as former President Trump's renewed NATO skepticism raises fears of a diminished US security guarantee. | Contesto: cronaca

Punti chiave

• NATO's eastern members brace for US disengagement

Contesto

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has once again publicly questioned the fundamental value of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, triggering immediate and profound concern among the alliance's easternmost members bordering Russia. The remarks, made during a campaign event, have cast a long shadow over the upcoming NATO summit, with diplomats from Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania expressing private anxiety over the future of American commitment to their collective defense. The timing is particularly sensitive, analysts note, as the alliance seeks to bolster its eastern flank in response to Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine. For the Baltic nations, the statements are not abstract political rhetoric but a direct challenge to their national security doctrine, which has been predicated on the ironclad guarantee of Article 5 since they joined NATO in 2004. "Our entire defense posture is built on the certainty that an attack on one is an attack on all," said a senior Baltic defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the diplomatic sensitivity. "When a leading figure in the country that provides the backbone of that guarantee casts doubt on it, it forces a very uncomfortable reassessment." This sentiment echoes the deep-seated historical trauma of Soviet occupation, a memory that shapes the region's acute vigilance toward Moscow. The immediate practical implication is an intensified push for what officials in Tallinn, Riga, and Vilnius call "deterrence by denial." This involves accelerating long-planned investments in coastal and air defense systems, expanding territorial defense units, and further reinforcing the multinational NATO battlegroups stationed permanently on their soil. The goal is to make any potential aggression militarily untenable from the outset, thereby reducing the theoretical scenario where the invocation of Article 5 would be tested. "We must ensure our defense is credible on its own, day one, hour one," the Baltic official added. Beyond hardware, the political landscape within the alliance is shifting. European capitals, particularly Berlin, Paris, and Warsaw, are now under increased pressure to articulate a clearer vision for...

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Categoria: cronaca