Netanyahu sees Lebanon as his last chance for a ‘win’

Facing domestic pressure and strategic setbacks, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is reportedly viewing a potential conflict with Lebanon as a final opportunity to secure a decisive victory. | Contesto: cronaca

Punti chiave

• Netanyahu sees Lebanon as his last chance for a ‘win’

Contesto

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is now looking toward Lebanon as a critical, and perhaps final, opportunity to claim a definitive military and political victory, according to analysts and regional observers. This strategic pivot follows what is widely perceived within Israel as a failure to achieve stated war aims in Gaza and a significant setback in the direct confrontation with Iran last April. The assessment suggests that for Netanyahu, a successful campaign against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon is seen as essential to restoring his political standing and legacy. The context for this potential northern focus is a war-weary Israeli public and a fractious wartime cabinet. The prolonged Gaza conflict has exacted a heavy toll without delivering a clear resolution or the return of all hostages, eroding public confidence. Concurrently, Iran’s unprecedented direct missile and drone attack on Israeli territory in April—and Israel’s reportedly limited response—was viewed by many security hawks as a moment of deterrence failure. These consecutive events have created intense pressure on the Prime Minister to demonstrate strength and strategic competence on a new front. Lebanon, specifically the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia, presents a complex but familiar adversary. Cross-border skirmishes have escalated dramatically since the outbreak of the Gaza war, displacing tens of thousands of civilians on both sides of the frontier. For Netanyahu, a decisive blow against Hezbollah’s military infrastructure could be framed as a long-overdue enforcement of Israeli security in the north, potentially justifying the risks of opening a full-scale second front. Such an outcome, his supporters argue, would reestablish Israeli deterrence vis-à-vis Iran’s regional network and silence critics who accuse his government of strategic drift. However, the implications of initiating a major war in Lebanon are profoundly dangerous. Hezbollah possesses a vast arsenal of rockets and missiles far more sophisticated than Hamas’s, capable of striking deep into Israel’s population centers and critical infrastructure. Military experts warn of casualties and destruction on a scale not seen...

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Categoria: cronaca