Oil rises and Asian stocks fall amid worries over ‘fragile’ ceasefire deal in Middle East – business live

Oil prices rise and Asian stocks fall as markets react to a fragile Middle East ceasefire deal, with Iran accusing the US and Israel of violating terms through attacks on Lebanon. | Contesto: cronaca

Punti chiave

• Oil rises and Asian stocks fall amid worries over ‘fragile’ ceasefire deal in Middle East – business live

Contesto

Financial markets are showing immediate strain, with oil prices climbing and Asian stocks declining amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty. The pressure follows accusations from Iran that the US and Israel have broken the terms of a recent ceasefire deal due to attacks on Lebanon, revealing early cracks in the agreement. Analyst Mohit Kumar of Jefferies describes the truce as fragile but suggests it may hold due to the principle of mutually assured destruction. He argues that both the US-Israel alliance and Iran's IRGC have strategic reasons to avoid a full-scale conflict, which neither side could decisively win given current military and economic constraints. Underlying the uneasy peace are core agreements to prevent nuclear proliferation and keep the Strait of Hormuz open for shipping. The US has maintained a significant military presence in the region as a deterrent, signaling readiness to enforce compliance with the terms of the deal. The prevailing market sentiment reflects a tense equilibrium, where an unstable truce is sustained by mutual interest rather than resolution. This precarious balance continues to drive volatility as investors weigh the risk of a sudden escalation against the high costs of war for all involved parties.

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Categoria: cronaca