Russian official says oil market needs months to recover from Hormuz closure

Russian Deputy PM warns oil market faces months of disruption even after Strait of Hormuz reopens, citing deep crisis and ship backlog. | Contesto: cronaca

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• Russian official says oil market needs months to recover from Hormuz closure

Contesto

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak has warned that the global oil market will require several months to recover to its previous level even if the Strait of Hormuz is reopened, deepening concerns over energy supply stability. In an interview with Russian state media company VGTRK, Novak described the current disruption as a deep crisis, noting that a substantial volume of crude oil has failed to reach markets and that a large number of vessels have accumulated in the strategic waterway. “The crisis is very deep – a very large number of barrels of oil did not reach the market during this period, and a large number of ships have accumulated in the Strait of Hormuz,” Novak said. “Therefore, of course, it will take some time to rebalance and recover to the previous level. In our view, that will be several months.” The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow passage between Oman and Iran, is a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, with about one-fifth of the world's petroleum traversing its waters daily. Any prolonged closure or significant disruption there has immediate ripple effects on crude prices and energy security for major importers, particularly in Asia and Europe. Novak’s remarks underscore the severity of the current situation, which has seen tankers stranded and supply chains strained, pushing oil markets into a state of uncertainty. While the official did not specify the cause or duration of the closure, his assessment suggests that the logistical and market imbalances are far from trivial, requiring a lengthy recalibration even after normal traffic resumes. The deputy prime minister’s comments come amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, where the Strait has been a flashpoint for confrontations involving Iran, the United States, and allied naval forces. Previous incidents, such as the 2019 attacks on Saudi oil facilities and periodic Iranian threats to block the passage, have historically spiked oil prices and triggered emergency diplomatic efforts. Novak’s characterization of the current disruption as “very deep” indicates that the scale of the backlog and lost output may surpass earlier episodes, potentially leading to sustained...

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Categoria: cronaca